Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.113721 0.122075 0.130729 0.140369 0.150814 0.161794 0.174222
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.098692 0.110770 0.123917 0.139317 0.156895 0.176375 0.199650
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.089223 0.103184 0.118896 0.137941 0.160475 0.186373 0.218518
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080935 0.095855 0.113098 0.134582 0.160750 0.191733 0.231409
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077100 0.093260 0.112383 0.136805 0.167338 0.204473 0.253401
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071856 0.088501 0.108602 0.134822 0.168353 0.210101 0.266495
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067649 0.084694 0.105661 0.133548 0.169955 0.216275 0.280304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063042 0.080083 0.101391 0.130225 0.168578 0.218328 0.288554
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059721 0.076915 0.098753 0.128795 0.169470 0.223227 0.300652
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057365 0.074862 0.097418 0.128945 0.172371 0.230811 0.316650
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054388 0.071825 0.094611 0.126921 0.172125 0.233972 0.326465
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052151 0.069669 0.092862 0.126213 0.173593 0.239473 0.339758
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051518 0.069715 0.094163 0.129875 0.181488 0.254582 0.368103
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049298 0.067472 0.092206 0.128842 0.182606 0.259996 0.382372
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047178 0.065265 0.090184 0.127585 0.183274 0.264694 0.395681
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044636 0.062349 0.087025 0.124507 0.181060 0.264925 0.401995
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043832 0.061886 0.087348 0.126545 0.186563 0.276998 0.427453
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041943 0.059767 0.085170 0.124727 0.186076 0.279796 0.438143
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040360 0.058031 0.083480 0.123559 0.186503 0.283981 0.451219
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038355 0.055594 0.080651 0.120514 0.183829 0.283093 0.455768
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036933 0.053978 0.078991 0.119203 0.183822 0.286431 0.467517
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035968 0.053018 0.078283 0.119340 0.186121 0.293569 0.486056
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034550 0.051314 0.076371 0.117484 0.185079 0.295130 0.494943